Task Group Report
Consultant reports:
Please note: Several adjustments were made to the original forecast results that were necessary to incorporate new information as well as correct for some formulaic errors that existed in the original emission level and intensity forecast results. These adjustments had a material effect on both historical and forecast emission levels and intensity calculations. CASA requested EDC attach an Appendix to their document entitled Electricity Framework 5 Year Review – Generation and Emissions Forecasts, July 8, 2009, summarizing the corrections and showing the corrected data. The data presented in this report reflects the corrected data. See Appendix 4 of the report for full details.
Please note: Once the team had completed their work on developing updated emissions standards, they arranged for the original forecast to be updated, reflecting the revised standards that would come into effect on January 1, 2011. For comparison purposes, the market fundamentals and assumptions that were used to develop the original forecast were kept consistent in this revised forecast. Although consensus was not reached on a NOx source standard for new gas-fired thermal generation, the team agreed to use the draft, non-consensus source standard for the purposes of updating the emissions forecast.
Disclaimer: These reports were prepared by a third party consultant to provide advice to the team only. They are not a consensus report of the team.